Abstract

Today, terrorism is a serious threat to all societies. The acquisition of nuclear weapons by these groups will pose serious problems for global security. Therefore, studying the methods of passive nuclear defense against nuclear attacks and predicting the direction of radioactive materials can increase the preparedness of society against such attacks and save the lives of many people. Numerous pieces of software have been developed to simulate the release of radioactive material from nuclear weapons and nuclear power plant accidents. The HYSPLIT model is one of the most efficient models in this field. This model has the ability to simulate meteorological with data from different centers. In this research, this model along with meteorological data (GDAS) has been used to simulate the release of radioactive material caused by the explosion of atomic bombs in north of Iran. In this simulation, it is assumed that the atomic cloud resulting from the explosion is composed of 13 particles of different sizes. The results show that the model is well able to simulate the direction of propagation and increasing the size of the bomb will increases the distance of propagation and has no effect on the direction of propagation. Small bomb simulations also give more consistent results.

Keywords

[1] M. F. Коzhevnikova and V. V. Levenets, Propagation Analysis of Pu Radionuclides as a Result of Fire Incidents in the Exclusion Zone of the Chernobyl NPP in April 2020, East European Journal of Physics. (2021) 161-168.
[2] M. Kozhevnikova and V. Levenets, Simulation of Entry and Propagation of Pu Isotopes and 241 Am on Ukraine Territory,
[3] C. L. Zoellick, Source Term Estimation of Atmospheric Pollutants Using an Ensemble of HYSPLIT Concentration Simulations, (2019)
[4] M. Kozhevnikova, V. Levenets, I. Rolik and A. Shchur, The radioactive contamination territory of Ukraine by Pu and 241Am radionuclides due to the Chernobyl accident, Problems of Atomic Science and Technology. (2017) 109.
[5] M. Kozhevnikova, V. Levenets and V. Voyevodin, Validation of Pollutant Source Identification Method Exemplified by Environmental Impact of Chornobyl Accident in ZNPP Location Area, Ядерна та радіаційна безпека. (2014)
[6] P. Povinec, M. Gera, K. Holý, K. Hirose, G. Lujaniené, M. Nakano, W. Plastino, I. Sýkora, J. Bartok and M. Gažák, Dispersion of Fukushima radionuclides in the global atmosphere and the ocean, Applied Radiation and Isotopes. 81 (2013) 383-392.
[7] M. Ramana, A. Nayyar and M. Schoeppner, Nuclear High-level Waste Tank Explosions: Potential Causes and Impacts of a Hypothetical Accident at India's Kalpakkam Reprocessing Plant, Science & Global Security. 24 (2016) 174-203.
[8] R. Draxler and G. Hess, Description of the HYSPLIT 4 modeling system (NOAA technical memorandum ERL ARL-224), NOAA Air Resources Laboratory, Silver Spring. (2004)
[9] U. S. C. O. o. T. Assessment and U. S. C. T. A. Board, The Effects of Nuclear War, (1979).
[10] R. Draxler, B. Stunder, G. Rolph, A. Stein and A. Taylor, HYSPLIT4 User’s Guide Version 4. Last Revision March 2012, (2012)
[11] A. Baklanov and J. Sørensen, Parameterisation of radionuclide deposition in atmospheric long-range transport modelling, Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Part B: Hydrology, Oceans and Atmosphere. 26 (2001) 787-799.
[12] G. Rolph, F. Ngan and R. Draxler, Modeling the fallout from stabilized nuclear clouds using the HYSPLIT atmospheric dispersion model, Journal of environmental radioactivity. 136 (2014) 41-55.